VaticinusThe world graph
A forecast is not an island.
Lone forecasts are cheap. The edge is the constraint system around them: what breaks, who wins, what reprices, and what would prove the call wrong. This graph puts every dated clause on one causal spine, from frontier capability down to scored outcome.
The full web loads first. The open path shows the odds, mechanism, kill-criterion, and next constraint created by a real call.
Work with us
Put us on one question.
The chat is free and always on. When you need more, we point the whole engine at a single question you trade and come back with a dated forecast: the binding constraint, a probability and interval, whether it's already priced, and when it resolves. You also get the one thing that would prove it wrong, so you can size it and watch it.
Scored at resolution, so we're judged on the record.
